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George@Fourtitude
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 Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices« »

Ever feel like you're playing musical chairs? Just when automakers thought they had an answer for fuel costs with higher-efficiency diesels, turns out the maritime industry is considering a switch to diesel as well. It's cleaner to be sure... so good for ozone layers and baby seals, but potential consumption for such a change is estimated to be 1.5 times that of diesel-happy Europe. For those who didn't take Business 101, ridonculous additional demand + current supply = you're screwed. Of course, nothing's been finalized yet for the cargo ship types. However, the probability is there and we've been warned. More after the jump.

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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (George@Fourtitude) »« »

It's like the world is conspiring against diesel drivers.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (leaftye) »« »

It sounds like someone is just throwing ideas out there, so I wouldn't worry about it too much at this point. If things start looking like they're thought out a little more, then start worrying!



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (George@Fourtitude) »« »

Why are there no nuclear-powered merchant ships? There was the N.S. Savanah but that was really a testbed. I'm sure the cost is the main reason but that's probably becoming less of an issue as fuel prices continue to rise.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (MEIN_VW) »« »

Quote, originally posted by MEIN_VW »
Why are there no nuclear-powered merchant ships? There was the N.S. Savanah but that was really a testbed. I'm sure the cost is the main reason but that's probably becoming less of an issue as fuel prices continue to rise.

Reactor fuel is becoming a significant issue.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (MEIN_VW) »« »

I wouldn't be crazy about nuclear merchant ships, not with security concerns.......that, and maintenance is a little crazy for nuclear powerplants, and I wouldn't be comfortable with merchants finding enough nuclear engineers to prevent all those merchant ships from going Chernobyl.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (leaftye) »« »

Quote, originally posted by leaftye »
It's like the world is conspiring against diesel drivers.

Seriously. It's not even me or other motorists I'm concerned about -- it's the trucking and shipping industry in general. I can always use/buy less fuel for my TDI, but I can't cut food from my budget. As it is, a gallon of milk is already at $3.90/$4 for a gallon.

BTW diesel is $4.09/gal at the station where I usually buy it from.

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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (leaftye) »« »

Quote, originally posted by leaftye »
It's like the world is conspiring against diesel drivers.

Ships run on heavy fuel oil, which is the dirtiest of the dirty fuels. It cannot be cleaned up, you simply must run on a more refined fuel. To be honest though, I've seen L.A., I've seen the pictures of China, and I can certainly understand the need for clean air. If requiring ships to run on diesel is what it takes to clean the air, then that's what it's going to have to be.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (AZGolf) »« »

Perhapse this will drive up demand for diesel fuel to really pump funding into alternative diesel fuels from algae



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (George@Fourtitude) »« »

On the topic of food, does anyone know where to find the most updated figures on average food spending in America? I found this page which states the average spending on food was $2964 per capita in 2001, which is course 6 year old data now that 2007 is finished. Still, if we use 4% inflation per year that becomes $3750 per capita for 2007. Considering food is the most important element for human life, $3750/year doesn't seem bad, especially since food stamps are widely available too.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (AZGolf) »« »

Quote, originally posted by AZGolf »

Ships run on heavy fuel oil, which is the dirtiest of the dirty fuels. It cannot be cleaned up, you simply must run on a more refined fuel. To be honest though, I've seen L.A., I've seen the pictures of China, and I can certainly understand the need for clean air. If requiring ships to run on diesel is what it takes to clean the air, then that's what it's going to have to be.

Indeed. The port and cruise ships on Elliot Bay here in Seattle are the single largest contributors to poor air quality in the downtown area.



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George@Fourtitude
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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (tgodbout) »« »

Update with ground-breaking photoshop.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (tgodbout) »« »

Quote, originally posted by tgodbout »

Indeed. The port and cruise ships on Elliot Bay here in Seattle are the single largest contributors to poor air quality in the downtown area.

The Washington State Ferry network is a major contributor to poor air quality in Puget Sound, consuming 17 million gallons of fuel a year.

WSF is currently phasing in Biodiesel, with a legislative mandate to have the ferry system using a minimum of 20% Bio-D by 2009.



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George@Fourtitude
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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (Numbersix) »« »

Quote, originally posted by Numbersix »

The Washington State Ferry network is a major contributor to poor air quality in Puget Sound, consuming 17 million gallons of fuel a year.

WSF is currently phasing in Biodiesel, with a legislative mandate to have the ferry system using a minimum of 20% Bio-D by 2009.

Bio-D isn't really an answer either though sadly. The more you make an economy based on Ethanol or Bio Diesel, the more motivation there is to change rainforests into farms for corn, soy or the like and the more this pressures food prices up.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (AZGolf) »« »

Quote, originally posted by AZGolf »

Ships run on heavy fuel oil, which is the dirtiest of the dirty fuels. It cannot be cleaned up, you simply must run on a more refined fuel. To be honest though, I've seen L.A., I've seen the pictures of China, and I can certainly understand the need for clean air. If requiring ships to run on diesel is what it takes to clean the air, then that's what it's going to have to be.

Yeah. Bunker fuel is like burning tar. And tires.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (Turbiodiesel!) »« »

Quote, originally posted by Turbiodiesel! »

Yeah. Bunker fuel is like burning tar. And tires.

it smells so wonderful too....in my diesel simulator class the instructor had a cup of it upside-down on his desk.....it never moved from the top of the glass!

compounding its pollution potential is the amount of heavy metals and nasty elements like sulfur contained in the fuel due to it being residual from other fuels, which are refined in order to remove that stuff. the use of SCR or pretty much any other pollution abatement is out of the question because the contaminants would ruin the catalyst, etc.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (George@Fourtitude) »« »

Quote, originally posted by George@Fourtitude »

Bio-D isn't really an answer either though sadly. The more you make an economy based on Ethanol or Bio Diesel, the more motivation there is to change rainforests into farms for corn, soy or the like and the more this pressures food prices up.

I hear that, George--I know a number of cattle producers that agree wholeheartedly RE: the cost to them of sharply increased ethanol and Bio-D production. It's fascinating--and troubling--just how quickly we are all being made aware of the interdependency of our needs (fuel for our transportation vs. fuel for ourselves), and what a delicate balancing act it all is.

In the near-term, though, this will help our regional air quality a not insignificant amount, as well as reducing pollutants in our marine waterways--which are currently at serious risk due to a host of pollution sources.

Modified by Numbersix at 12:51 PM 3-28-2008



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (George@Fourtitude) »« »

Quote, originally posted by George@Fourtitude »
ridonculous additional demand + current supply = you're screwed.

thats straight out of the text book, right next to a chart.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (Tetzuoe) »« »

Add speculation from futures investors, and yeah, screwed bigtime.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (Turbiodiesel!) »« »

Quote, originally posted by Turbiodiesel! »
Yeah. Bunker fuel is like burning tar. And tires.

Isn't bunker fuel the stuff leftover during gasoline & fuel refining? Anyway, that's not my question, my question is....what happens to all the bunker fuel production that won't be utilized anymore?



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (George@Fourtitude) »« »

Quote, originally posted by George@Fourtitude »

Bio-D isn't really an answer either though sadly. The more you make an economy based on Ethanol or Bio Diesel, the more motivation there is to change rainforests into farms for corn, soy or the like and the more this pressures food prices up.

This depends on how it is made.

However I will agree that in the short term this is not the solution as we don't have the infastructure in place to make biodiesel with algae yet. However ( would like to here Turbiodiesel!'s point of view) I did see an article about a verticle growing system that looked like it could really expand quickly.

This is what I was thinking of Valcent and their vertigro system.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (renegadeofpunk03) »« »

Quote, originally posted by renegadeofpunk03 »

it smells so wonderful too....in my diesel simulator class the instructor had a cup of it upside-down on his desk.....it never moved from the top of the glass!

compounding its pollution potential is the amount of heavy metals and nasty elements like sulfur contained in the fuel due to it being residual from other fuels, which are refined in order to remove that stuff. the use of SCR or pretty much any other pollution abatement is out of the question because the contaminants would ruin the catalyst, etc.

Yeah the stuff is pretty nasty, it has to be heated up before it will even flow, its basically burning sludge.

Someone mentioned before part of the issue here in America is that refineries ares designed to produce mainly gasoline, in Europe a different technique is used where you get closer to 50/50 gas and diesel.

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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (Tetzuoe) »« »

Quote, originally posted by Tetzuoe »
thats straight out of the text book, right next to a chart.

This one?





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  »« »

Algae biodiesel so far has been a media baby. It's coming soon, expect to see some major advances in the next 2 years.

It's true about bunker oil, very raw, disgusting fuel. We have a sample here at the shop and it's amazing how an engine can even run on this stuff. Imagine a tar black substance with the consistency of silly putty (it does not transfer newspaper ink so much as make a mess of your newspaper, nor does it bounce)
It's up to 40 cents a liter, which is half the diesel rack price. Unless the large cargo ships are forced to switch to diesel, don't expect them to run on anything but the cheapest fuels.



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 Re: (Dreamstate) »« »

One other thing to remember is that a marine powerplant is among the most effecient engine systems on the planet. So while a switch to more usage of diesel sucks for diesel drivers, the ship will actually burn the diesel WAY more efficiently than any car will.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (AZGolf) »« »

Quote, originally posted by AZGolf »
Ships run on heavy fuel oil, which is the dirtiest of the dirty fuels. It cannot be cleaned up, you simply must run on a more refined fuel. To be honest though, I've seen L.A., I've seen the pictures of China, and I can certainly understand the need for clean air. If requiring ships to run on diesel is what it takes to clean the air, then that's what it's going to have to be.

I agree on the bunker oil problems - next to refineries one of the prime polluters of the Bay Area, as well. Still, in this case I can't take no for an answer.

Given the economic implications of changing to Diesel fuel, there got to be an overall less expensive way to (1) remove the sulfur from the heavy fuel oil, (2) improve the engines and clean up the exhaust, while (3) still making use of the heavy stuff (which, otherwise, probably would be burned in uncontrolled stoves in Africa and India, not reducing the environmental impact at all).



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (feels_road) »« »

Quote, originally posted by feels_road »
while (3) still making use of the heavy stuff (which, otherwise, probably would be burned in uncontrolled stoves in Africa and India, not reducing the environmental impact at all).

Exactly, it still must be put to good use, otherwise the pollution simply shifts elsewhere in the world, just like it moved our pollution to China when we gave them all our manufacturing jobs.



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  »« »

Buy more locally-produced food, or even grow your own food.

If you own a diesel car, investigate homebrewing biofuels, or if there are commercial biofuels available in your area.

If you own a gasoline car and are considering a diesel... stop?



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  »« »

Maybe a better way would be to clean up the bunker oil. Maybe even a blend. Catalyst might help too.

Does anyone know about ways to clean up the way bunker oil burns?

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 Re: (bhtooefr) »« »

Quote, originally posted by bhtooefr »
Buy more locally-produced food, or even grow your own food.

I don't have a green thumb. I tried recycling by fertilizing with old motor oil....it didn't work.



Eugene Leafty
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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (George@Fourtitude) »« »

The problem isn't using more diesel (or gas), it's oil company's refusal to increase refining capacity.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (feels_road) »« »

Quote, originally posted by feels_road »

I agree on the bunker oil problems - next to refineries one of the prime polluters of the Bay Area, as well. Still, in this case I can't take no for an answer.

The refineries by the Benicia bridge all have on-site waste water treatment plants to reduce polltion, and are monitored pretty closely.


If I'm not mistaken, Marine Fuel Oil is mostly distillation columns bottoms , normally used to make asphalt, and other off-spec product blended together.






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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (scottracer) »« »

Waste water is not the problem --- emissions from the energy-intensive cracking/distillation process and escapes of volatile gases are.

And yes, no need to refine much for Diesel - it is basically a by-product of gasoline production. In the US, this process is biased towards the lighter distillates, but there is no reason (other than greed) to do so if Diesel demand increases.

Anyway, it's no a bad idea per se to use the heavy stuff in the monstrous shipping engines, but like anything else, both the fuel and the engines need to be cleaned up, ASAP.

As to the buy local mantra, it has been shown numerous times that it has extremely limited impact. Still a good idea in general, but don't get out of your way to drive 15 miles to the nearest farmers market for your bi-weekly shopping. Chances are, you will use way more resources to do that than the relative impact of shipping your desired fruit from Chile to your on-the-way-home supermarket.



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (feels_road) »« »

We should start using wind for shipping again, remember those days? I don't.

Just kidding.

Demand is going to skyrocket, as are prices of diesel!



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 Re: Maritime Fuel Switch Could Drive Diesel Prices (dubjager) »« »

Not sure why you are kidding.






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